INVESTMENT STRATEGY BRIEF

Numerous Crosscurrents in a Resilient Economy and Market

We unpack numerous crosscurrents in the current environment, including Iran/oil prices, inflation/Federal Reserve policy, fiscal trajectory/elevated rates, and artificial intelligence infrastructure/deployment.

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Numerous Pressures Push Interest Rates Higher

Market Sight | Lines

Long-term interest rates have moved higher, with the 30-year Treasury yield reaching a level last seen nearly two decades ago, alongside similar moves across Europe and Japan. In this week’s Sight|Lines, we discuss what’s driving longer-term yields higher, the growing role of the term premium, and what it could mean for investors going forward.

The Midterms: We Are in and Will Remain in Divided Government

Market Sight | Lines 

With the 2026 midterm elections just six weeks away, investors are beginning to look beyond campaign headlines and toward the implications for markets and policy. In this week’s Sight|Lines, we discuss why divided government is likely to persist, how markets have historically behaved around midterm elections, and why the post-election policy environment may matter more than the election results themselves.

The Fed Raises Rates to Combat Inflation

Market Sight | Lines

After cutting rates six times across 2024 and 2025, the Federal Reserve reversed course this week with a 0.25% rate hike as higher oil prices and renewed inflation pressures complicated the path back to 2%. In this week’s Sight|Lines, we break down the Fed’s decision, what the latest economic projections reveal, and why higher-for-longer rates may remain a key theme for investors.

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